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The NEPSE Analyst

@nepsetrader
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nepsetrader

August 28, 2022, 05:10 pm

$NEPSE closed at 1989 today. As mentioned previously, looks like we are heading towards 1900 where the market could look to take support. The market has failed to show any signs of upward movement as of now.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

August 14, 2022, 05:10 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2010 today. If we see more selling pressure tomorrow, we might be heading towards 1900. 👀

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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August 09, 2022, 05:37 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2062 today. It closed below the trendline support and now it seems it will be heading towards the 2000 levels. If we don't take support there, the next destination could be around 1900. The immediate resistance is around 2100.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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August 06, 2022, 10:24 am

$NEPSE closed at 2113 this week. The market took resistance as expected and is now close to the trend line support and also the previous resistance around 2100 which could act as support. As long as the trend line holds, we can expect the uptrend to continue.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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July 31, 2022, 06:42 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2195 today. After a long wait, the market finally closed above 2150. We saw a good rise in the banking and insurance sub-index today.

In the past couple of days, we saw a sectoral shift, and hence, the finance, development, and hydro sub-index didn't increase much today.

In the chart, we can see a trendline that can act as a support and until that holds, we can say the market will be in an uptrend. These are the important levels for the market now:

🔴 Minor Resistance - Around 2210
🔴 Resistance 1️⃣ - 2260 to 2290
🔴 Resistance 2️⃣ - 2360 to 2380
🟢 Support - Around 2100

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

July 27, 2022, 05:00 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2111 today. It took resistance at 2140 yesterday and made a reversal candle but it could not follow up with a continuation candle. Is the market making a double-top scenario? Only time will tell. I'm waiting for the market to close above 2150 before making a purchase decision.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

July 25, 2022, 05:06 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2132 today. After the monetary policy was announced on Friday, we saw the market increase nicely in the last two days with good volume.

Our immediate resistance is around 2150. We need to see if the market takes resistance around that area which could form a double top pattern. But if NEPSE breaks above that and gives us a closing above 2150, that could present us with a buying opportunity. I'm still in a wait and watch situation for now.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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July 20, 2022, 05:58 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2050 today. The market has broken the resistance trend line but has failed to make an impactful move. I'm waiting to see if we can get a retest that could take the market to somewhere between 1930 to 1980 before making a strong move upwards.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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July 15, 2022, 09:10 am

$NEPSE closed at 2001 yesterday. We are close to trend line resistance yet again. I'm waiting to see if we can close above that and ultimately above 2150. If NEPSE takes resistance, we could see some fall once again.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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July 11, 2022, 05:54 pm

$NEPSE closed at 1915 today. I was expecting the market to hold 1930 but couldn't. We need to see if the market can close above it tomorrow. If not, we could be heading lower to test the low of 1807.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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April 14, 2022, 05:50 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2415 for this week. It took support around the important 2360 area and bounced back. But we still need to wait to confirm if this is actually a bounce back. How do we do this? We wait for further candles.

If the market can protect the low that NEPSE made yesterday i.e. 2366, there is a good chance we will be heading towards 2700. I'm still waiting for the market to close above 2520 to take larger buys. Until then, I will take partial buys with 2366 as my stop loss.

Happy New Year 2079 to everyone. I'm hoping for NEPSE to make a higher high and see it go above 3227 this year. Patience is the key.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

January 19, 2022, 04:43 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2898 today. The market took resistance from 2981 yesterday and is moving in the direction as expected. We need to see if the market can take support somewhere between 2840 to 2880 area. If not, it could take support around 2800. Our next target if the market takes support will be above 3000. (This is my preferred count)

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade. Edited
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nepsetrader

December 14, 2021, 05:50 pm

What a day for $NEPSE! The market closed at 2418 (a whooping 6% rise after so long) giving relief and happiness to the participants. But can we say that yesterday was the bottom of the market? It is too early. We still need $NEPSE to cross above 2670 and sustain above it.

The area of resistance is very near at 2500 to 2550 area and it will be interesting to see if the market can break through this. If it fails, we could see the market fall again to 2140 to 2200 area which still remains the possible retracement area. For now, we should try to avoid FOMO buy and instead enter only at confirmation.

Disclaimer - It's only for education purposes. Take your own decision before the trade. Edited
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nepsetrader

December 09, 2021, 06:08 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2449 today. It went below the area it needed to protect i.e. 2438 but ultimately gave a close above that level. As of now, I feel there could be three possibilities for the market.

Scenario 1

If the market is able to protect low of today i.e. 2428 forming a good candle on Sunday, we could assume that it was the bottom of the market in this correction. In such a scenario, we can see the market rise from here on in a good way. But for that, the market needs to rise above 2680 and sustain above that area ultimately breaking the previous high.

Scenario 2

If $NEPSE gives a bounce from Sunday onwards to an area somewhere between 2500 to 2550 and starts falling again to break the low of today i.e. 2428, then it is possible that the bottom of this correction has not been formed yet. If the market follows wave A = wave C, we can see it fall to somewhere between 2140 - 2200 area which will become the bottom. If we consider this scenario, there's still room for the market to fall.

Scenario 3

If $NEPSE does not give a bounce from Sunday and continues to fall, we can see the market go and take support at 2369. (Refer to post of December 7)

We have to understand that picking the bottom of the market or correction is a very difficult task for any analyst. It is not impossible though. It depends on whether our analysis method and tools are correct or not. Our analysis adapts as per the market movement and we can never predict anything to be 100%.

Disclaimer - It's only for education purposes. Take your own decision before the trade. Edited
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  • Sherlin_Tuladhar

    Thankyou for sharing

    423 days ago
  • Mr. Yunush

    yo herera dherai sajhilo bhayo.. kaha kaha k k yaad garnu parne points haru paye sir

    423 days ago
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nepsetrader

December 06, 2021, 06:41 pm

$NEPSE today = a roller-coaster ride. After a sharp fall in the first hour, breaking the support of 2500, the market made a new short-term low of 2438. But the market recovered to close at 2546 protecting the 2500 area. We saw a good candle formation in the end but can we conclude that the market has reversed? We'll have to wait for the supporting candle to decide. 2680 remains an important area that $NEPSE needs to sustain above as of now. There's a possibility that the market takes resistance from 2570 to 2600. In that case, we might see the market falling again and test the 2369 area. So, a fresh trade position remains risky for now.

Disclaimer - It's only for education purposes. Take your own decision before the trade. Edited
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  • Mr. Yunush

    Its a pleasure reading your perspective sir

    426 days ago
  • nepsetrader

    Yunush Thank you Yunush ji.

    426 days ago
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nepsetrader

December 03, 2021, 10:06 am

$NEPSE didn't manage to close above 2615 (wave A = wave C area) and closed below 2600. Wave C (the final fall) looks like an impulse and if wave 1 = wave 5, it's around 2570. If the market bounces from that area on Sunday onwards and manages to close above 2760 in the coming days, that would indicate that the market still has upward momentum. In such a scenario, we could see the market rally to around 3000 area. On the other hand, if the market closes below 2570, there is a possibility for a further fall and the market might come to test 2500. It will be interesting to see if the market respects the channel and gives us a bounce on Sunday. Edited
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nepsetrader

November 14, 2021, 04:54 pm

$NEPSE broke 0.5 fibo level (2680) today but managed to close above it at 2688. If we see a green candle tomorrow, it might indicate a potential reversal. Edited
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  • Liquidity crunch ra interest rate increase gare bhaneko le cahi ali mathi jana garai huncha ki jasto lagcha hai malai chai..

    451 days ago
  • volume chaina tara.. what can we make out of that??

    450 days ago
  • nepsetrader

    Volume drying up could also suggest a potential reversal. It seems sellers are not willing to sell their shares at a cheaper price. The candle made today isn't very strong to justify that market has reversed. Although it closed above 2700, we'll need to wait until the market can cross 2760 and sustain above it. For now, the stop loss area is at close below 2667.

    450 days ago
  • Yadav Khatri

    milaunu ta bhako ho rahecha tapai le.. ajhai pani 2760 mathi nai cha.. thanku analysis ko lagi

    446 days ago
  • @nepsetrader still managed to close at 2669 two point above stop loss level....sunday may be crutial day

    446 days ago
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nepsetrader

November 14, 2021, 11:00 am

$NEPSE 2630 to 2680 is an area to watch out for. If the market is able to bounce back from this range, we can see a good rally upwards. An important day ahead! Edited
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nepsetrader

August 18, 2021, 09:45 am

It will be interesting to see if $HYDPOWIND gives continuation and goes to chase higher targets after the breakout of 3089 or it breaks the trend line and seeks some correction. Seems like an important day or two for the hydropower sector. Thoughts? @Trade_wid_ART Edited
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  • Mr. Yunush

    Thanks .. trending topic as well

    539 days ago
  • Trade_wid_ART

    Every correction in this sector can be an entry point cos people are ready to pay any price!
    People's Sentiment is so strong in this sector!

    538 days ago
  • stockkakura

    Jai hydro bhandai chan sab manchhe haru

    538 days ago
  • nepsetrader

    Update: Hydro taking support on the trend line. Would be a decisive next week.

    538 days ago
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nepsetrader

August 05, 2021, 11:59 am

Attractive targets for $SJCL if we can maintain a strict discipline with stop loss. Edited
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  • Saurishkasa

    Sold it yesterday after holding for more than 2 months..

    551 days ago
  • Still have it ..WACC is 498

    551 days ago
  • @nepsetrader sab le asti ek din Kul Man Ghising aaune halla le garda badheko bhancha.. k cha tapai ko bichar?

    550 days ago
  • nepsetrader

    Yunush I still see higher targets if Hydro index can protect 3340.

    549 days ago
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nepsetrader

August 28, 2022, 05:10 pm

$NEPSE closed at 1989 today. As mentioned previously, looks like we are heading towards 1900 where the market could look to take support. The market has failed to show any signs of upward movement as of now.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

August 14, 2022, 05:10 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2010 today. If we see more selling pressure tomorrow, we might be heading towards 1900. 👀

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

August 09, 2022, 05:37 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2062 today. It closed below the trendline support and now it seems it will be heading towards the 2000 levels. If we don't take support there, the next destination could be around 1900. The immediate resistance is around 2100.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

August 06, 2022, 10:24 am

$NEPSE closed at 2113 this week. The market took resistance as expected and is now close to the trend line support and also the previous resistance around 2100 which could act as support. As long as the trend line holds, we can expect the uptrend to continue.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

July 31, 2022, 06:42 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2195 today. After a long wait, the market finally closed above 2150. We saw a good rise in the banking and insurance sub-index today.

In the past couple of days, we saw a sectoral shift, and hence, the finance, development, and hydro sub-index didn't increase much today.

In the chart, we can see a trendline that can act as a support and until that holds, we can say the market will be in an uptrend. These are the important levels for the market now:

🔴 Minor Resistance - Around 2210
🔴 Resistance 1️⃣ - 2260 to 2290
🔴 Resistance 2️⃣ - 2360 to 2380
🟢 Support - Around 2100

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

July 27, 2022, 05:00 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2111 today. It took resistance at 2140 yesterday and made a reversal candle but it could not follow up with a continuation candle. Is the market making a double-top scenario? Only time will tell. I'm waiting for the market to close above 2150 before making a purchase decision.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

July 25, 2022, 05:06 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2132 today. After the monetary policy was announced on Friday, we saw the market increase nicely in the last two days with good volume.

Our immediate resistance is around 2150. We need to see if the market takes resistance around that area which could form a double top pattern. But if NEPSE breaks above that and gives us a closing above 2150, that could present us with a buying opportunity. I'm still in a wait and watch situation for now.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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July 20, 2022, 05:58 pm

$NEPSE closed at 2050 today. The market has broken the resistance trend line but has failed to make an impactful move. I'm waiting to see if we can get a retest that could take the market to somewhere between 1930 to 1980 before making a strong move upwards.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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July 15, 2022, 09:10 am

$NEPSE closed at 2001 yesterday. We are close to trend line resistance yet again. I'm waiting to see if we can close above that and ultimately above 2150. If NEPSE takes resistance, we could see some fall once again.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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nepsetrader

July 11, 2022, 05:54 pm

$NEPSE closed at 1915 today. I was expecting the market to hold 1930 but couldn't. We need to see if the market can close above it tomorrow. If not, we could be heading lower to test the low of 1807.

Disclaimer - It's only for educational purposes. Take your own decision before the trade.
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The NEPSE Analyst

I'm a student of the market. Any chart I post is just my analysis and not a buy or sell recommendation. I believe that the market is the king and it is free to choose whichever direction it wants. We just need to adapt to it accordingly.

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